India sustainable aviation fuel market has feedstock for potential production of 19 to 24 million tons of SAF per year, for 5% blending target of SAF, India would require 0.14 billion liters of SAF annually. The third-largest aviation market in the world, India’s aviation industry has grown remarkably because of rising income levels, the emergence of low-cost carriers, and encouraging government programs such as the Ude Desh Ka Aam Naagrik (UDAN) Policy. The Nextgen Airports for Bharat Nirman (NABH) plan, which seeks to greatly increase airport capacity to accommodate a billion trips annually by 2028, supports this growth. The aviation sector in India had a 2.5-fold growth in emissions between 2005 and 2018, indicating that the industry plays a significant role in the country’s greenhouse gas emissions. Due to factors such as radiative forcing, aircraft emissions are predicted to have a 2 to 4 times greater global impact than existing projections. The aviation industry is expected to expand its greenhouse gas emissions by 3.6 to 3.8 times by 2030 and up to 14 times by 2050.
In India, aviation emissions are growing at a CAGR of 7.34%. The Indian market for sustainable aviation fuel is receiving more attention in response to these issues. With its sustainable source, SAF presents a competitive option to traditional Aviation Turbine Fuel (ATF), with the potential to lower greenhouse gas emissions and reduce the environmental impact of the industry. SAF integration into the fuel mix offers the aviation industry a critical chance to strike a balance between growth and sustainability as the country’s aviation market continues to rise. This change could benefit both economic development and climate goals by assisting in managing the environmental impact of one of the aviation markets that is expanding at the fastest rate in the world.
Government Focus on Sustainability to Influence Market Growth
The National Biofuel Coordination Committee (NBCC) of the Indian government is stepping up its efforts to promote sustainability in aviation. The NBCC has published the first targets for the blend ratio of conventional aviation turbine fuel to sustainable aviation fuel. The first targets for international flights are 1% SAF by 2027 and 2% by 2028. The International Civil Aviation Organization’s (ICAO) Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA), which requires airlines worldwide to offset emissions growth starting in 2027, aligns with this plan. Compared to ATF, SAF has a substantially lower carbon footprint as it is made from renewable feedstocks.
India’s CORSIA compliance and aircraft emissions are anticipated to benefit from the government’s push for SAF blending. Involvement from the private sector is vital. Establishing SAF production plants in partnership with technology providers including major players such as Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) and Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals. Used cooking oil and non-edible oils will be used as feedstocks in these units, using pathways such as alcohol-to-jet fuel. With major advantages for the environment and the agriculture industry, the government plans to scale the SAF blending to 4-5%.
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For instance, in May 2023, the Oil Minister Hardeep Singh Puri has declared that India will implement a ground-breaking policy by 2025 requiring the blending of 1% Sustainable Aviation Fuel in Jet Fuel. In keeping with global trends toward sustainable fuels, this effort seeks to drastically cut emissions from the aviation industry.
Rapid Technology Innovation in the Market
Technological developments are expected to drive significant growth in India sustainable aviation fuel market. India aims to reduce the dependency of fossil fuel by promoting clean energy such as SAF, Biodiesel, Bio CNG, etc. This is accomplished by utilizing a variety of feedstocks, including sugarcane, agricultural wastes, used cooking oil, and municipal solid waste, in conjunction with cutting-edge technologies, such as Gasification/Fischer-Tropsch, Alcohol-to-Jet, and Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids (HEFA). While Isobutanol (IBA) production from operating sugar mills and ethanol facilities may produce 1.5 million tons of SAF yearly, HEFA technology employing used cooking oil (UCO) could produce up to 2 million tons. Up to 11 million tons of SAF might be produced annually with improved segregation infrastructure.
For Instance, in May 2023, one of the constituent laboratories of the Council of Scientific & Industrial Research (CSIR), the Indian Institute of Petroleum (IIP), created an indigenous one-step catalytic technology that produces SAF by hydro-processing waste lipids such as UCO and tree-borne oils. Additionally, CSIR-IIP has set up a pilot scale testing facility that can process up to 50 kg of feed per day.
West and Central India is Expected to Dominate Market Share
India’s west and central regions are becoming important players in India SAF market, which is growing significantly due to their strategic advantages. SAF manufacturing and distribution are concentrated in major aviation hubs and airports in cities like Mumbai, Pune, and Ahmedabad. Large investments in infrastructure, such as production facilities and supply systems have strengthened the availability and use of SAF in these regions. Increased SAF production and usage have been fueled by government subsidies and initiatives meant to lower carbon emissions and promote sustainable aviation. The advancement of SAF technology and integration necessitates active industry collaborations between fuel suppliers, research institutions, and airlines. SAF has a positive market outlook that sets the standard for the rest of India due to the robust current aviation infrastructure and growing demand for air travel.
For instance, in January 2024, Expanded DigiYatra and non-DigiYatra capabilities at Mumbai Airport have helped the airport process up to 8,000 passengers per hour and cut wait times to less than a minute. The airport now has 68 entry lanes, the highest number in the country, including 34 dedicated to DigiYatra. Terminal 1 features six dedicated DigiYatra e-gates and six non-DigiYatra e-gates. Additionally, 118 new e-gates at Terminal 2 will streamline security checks.
Biofuel Dominating the Market Share
Biofuels are gaining prominence in India sustainable aviation fuel market due to environmental benefits and raw material availability. When compared to conventional fossil fuels, biofuels are made from organic materials such as vegetable oil and other waste biomass in India. The National Biofuel Policy and business partnerships, along with government assistance are leading biofuels to dominate market share. Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) launched India’s first bio-jet fuel-powered flight in 2018, using a blend of Jatropha-based biofuel and conventional aviation fuel. SpiceJet operated the country’s first test flight with biofuel between Dehradun and Delhi. Praj Industries is developing advanced technologies for producing SAF blended aviation turbine fuel (ATF), as a result, biofuels are expected to significantly shape India’s SAF market.
Future Market Scenario (FY2025 – FY2033F)
The market for sustainable aviation fuel in India is anticipated to expand rapidly in the coming years due to technological advancements, new investments, and government aiming to reduce the dependency on fossil fuels. There is pressure on the aviation industry, which contributes significantly to carbon emissions, to switch to greener fuels. SAF is viewed as a solution since it addresses waste management and builds a strong supply chain. India’s agriculture sector provides a sizable feedstock base for SAF production. By providing subsidies and tax benefits, government policies and incentives will quicken this shift. It is anticipated that the cost of producing SAF will drop dramatically when economies of scale and technological advancements occur, making it more competitive with traditional jet fuels. Sustainable aviation fuel demand is expected to rise as companies aim to meet net-zero emissions targets and improve their social responsibility profiles. To comply with international sustainability norms and enhance the brand image, major Indian firms are anticipated to invest in SAF. By utilizing its low-cost renewable energy resources and technology breakthroughs, India’s adoption of SAF will establish it as one of the global leaders in the sustainable aviation fuel market in the forecast years.
Report Scope
“India Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Assessment, Opportunities and Forecast, FY2024-FY2033F”, is a comprehensive report by Markets and Data, providing in-depth analysis and qualitative and quantitative assessment of the current state of India sustainable aviation fuel market, industry dynamics, and challenges. The report includes market size, segmental shares, growth trends, opportunities, and forecast between FY2025 and FY2033. Additionally, the report profiles the leading players in the industry, mentioning their respective market share, business models, competitive intelligence, etc.
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